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Famed Democratic pollster: Warren as VP would lead to Biden victory - POLITICO
May 29, 2020 2 mins, 5 secs

Stan Greenberg, one of the Democratic Party's longtime leading pollsters, urged Hillary Clinton in 2016 to pick Elizabeth Warren as her vice president.

Biden’s biggest problem, Greenberg said, is that the Democratic Party has not unified behind him.

In fact, Biden is now behind where Clinton was with Bernie Sanders voters in 2016, with more than 20 percent of the democratic socialist’s backers saying they would not vote for him, even as 87 percent of them pledge to vote for a Democrat for Congress.

At a similar point in the 2016 cycle, roughly 15 percent of Sanders voters said they wouldn’t vote for Hillary Cllinton and Greenberg’s own polling through Democracy Corps around Election Day found the same.

Those moves, combined with Democrats’ motivation to oust President Donald Trump, might be enough to win over Sanders voters, whose defections in 2016 arguably cost Clinton the election.

Greenberg told Biden's team that Warren's message about a “rigged” system was “dominant” among the groups Biden needs, such as millennials who may feel disillusioned by the tumult of recent decades.

He has long criticized the Democratic Party on immigration, an appraisal he shared with Hillary Clinton, as she recounted in her post-2016 campaign book, "What Happened.".

And an April USA Today/Suffolk poll similarly found that 22 percent of Sanders voters would vote for a third-party candidate, Trump, or not vote at all.

“Above all else, [the Democratic Party] needs consolidation.

The Biden campaign declined to comment on Greenberg’s presentation, and Greenberg wouldn't say how it was received.

Among the raps against her: Her left-wing positions could alienate suburban voters the party needs, and Trump would have a field day going after her.

Many progressives have also argued that Biden should pick a black woman to help increase turnout among African American voters, particularly in Detroit, Philadelphia and Milwaukee.

"If you look at the African American vote in the primaries, they weren't supporting Harris," he said

"She never developed the base in the African American community against Biden." The POLITICO/Morning Consult/ survey also showed Warren polling better among black and Hispanic voters than any other contender on the question of whether her selection would make them more likely to vote for Biden

Many Democratic operatives disagree with Greenberg and think Trump — with his gigantic war chest and knack for survival — might well win reelection

Yet even as the global pandemic has upended the campaign, Greenberg said Democrats are still on track to win big if the party is united

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