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Jul 13, 2020 1 min, 30 secs
We will also add three more contenders for a 2021 launch: Japan's H3 rocket, Northrup Grumman's Omega booster, and SpaceX's Super Heavy first stage.

Current launch date: 1Q 2021.

Our estimated launch date: 2Q 2021.

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries has stuck to a 2020 launch date for its H3 rocket for a while, but that comes with an asterisk because it means "fiscal year 2020," which runs through March, 2021.

Current launch date: Spring 2021.

Our estimated launch date: 3Q-4Q 2021.

The first Omega launch does not yet have a firm date, but the company is hoping to debut the rocket from Launch Complex-39B during the first or second quarter of 2021.

Current launch date: 3Q-4Q 2021.

Our estimated launch date: 4Q 2021.

This past week, the European Space Agency confirmed that the launch of the Ariane 6 rocket would slip from the end of this year into 2021.

If tests of the integrated first and second stages of the Ariane 6 are conducted by early 2021, we'll have more confidence in a launch of this large rocket next year.

Current launch date: Summer 2021.

Our estimated launch date: 4Q 2021.

This will help with all manner of tests as the company presses toward the first launch of its new heavy lift rocket.

Currently, the RD-180 engine (Atlas V) and RS-68 (Delta IV Heavy) power United Launch Alliance's two rockets.

This suggests that making a launch in 2021 will be a challenge for United Launch Alliance, but it's not impossible.

Our estimated launch date: 4Q 2021.

Current launch date: End of 2021

Once this "green run" test is complete, we'll begin to have more confidence in a launch date for the rocket

Current launch date: End of 2021

Blue Origin has spent a lot of time and money on facilities—building a large assembly building and launch site in Florida, a rocket engine factory in Alabama, and new headquarters in Washington state

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