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The Kamala Harris pick isn't about 2020. It's about the future.
Aug 13, 2020 1 min, 3 secs

Many voters are likely to have no strong opinions of Harris, even at the end of the campaign.

Since 1980, an average of 35% of voters said they were unsure or neutral toward the vice presidential candidates.

In other words, there's a good chance that nearly two-fifths of voters won't even form opinions of Harris.

In contrast, more than 80% of voters have formed opinions of the presidential nominees since 1980.

The political science literature is also pretty clear about whether vice presidential candidates can win over certain groups for presidential nominees.

The evidence is that they probably can't, which comports with the fact that many more voters don't hold opinions of the vice presidential nominees than they do of the presidential nominees.

(It should be said, though, that Harris was never able to catch on with Black voters during the Democratic primary.)

Arguably, the biggest mistake Biden could have made was the selection of an inexperienced candidate.

And as mentioned, she'd be the first woman, Black woman and Indian American to become vice president.

If Biden and Harris win in November, she'll have a big step up the next time he isn't the Democratic nominee for president.

The last five Democratic vice presidents have gone on to win their party's nomination for president.

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