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Bleacher Report's Expert Week 12 NFL Picks

Bleacher Report's Expert Week 12 NFL Picks

Bleacher Report's Expert Week 12 NFL Picks
Nov 24, 2021 6 mins, 54 secs

Maybe you're looking to make the holiday more interesting by laying down some legal bets, maybe you're in an office pool that is becoming far too heated entering the home stretch, or maybe you just want an edge against the spread in another capacity as Week 12 hits early on Thursday afternoon.

Took the Pittsburgh Steelers to overtime on the road and then fell just three points short of the Browns in Cleveland.

But the Bears might actually be a better offensive team with Andy Dalton starting, and Detroit hasn't been able to move the ball consistently regardless of which stiff is under center.

Sobleski on Detroit: "The Lions are the NFL's worst team, but they remain competitive.

Score Prediction: Bears 23, Lions 20?

It was also a close call with the limping Dallas Cowboys laying a touchdown plus a hook at home Thursday against the slumping Las Vegas Raiders.

"In the last three weeks the Raiders have lost to the New York Giants by seven, the Kansas City Chiefs by 27 and the Cincinnati Bengals by 19," Rogers said in defense of those on Dallas.

So we're reluctantly joining two-thirds of the country in support of America's Team, who are 8-2 ATS this season. .

Score Prediction: Cowboys 31, Raiders 20.

So why are they laying just 5.5 Thursday night against a New Orleans Saints team mired in a three-game losing streak.

Score Prediction: Bills 28, Saints 17.

Taking the points on a short week with the home team is probably the safer play, but if the Bucs can corral JT they'll beat the Colts by way more than three points.".

Score Prediction: Buccaneers 28, Colts 24.

So it makes sense that the crew is split with Houston laying 2.5 points at home. .

Davenport on Gang Green: "Picking a team here feels like choosing which knee to be hit with a hammer on—either way you're going to be hopping up and down and swearing at some point.

The Texans shocked the Titans last week, but that was a game in which Houston managed just 190 yards of offense, and the Texans are dead last in both total offense and scoring offense.

This isn't a matter of 'liking' the Jets so much as it is reluctance to lay points with Houston's non-existent offense.".

Kenyon on the Texans: "Am I really picking the Texans to win a game and cover points.

There's letdown potential here, but they get the Jets at home, and New York has yet to win on the road this year.".

In fact, they've surrendered 99 total points in their last two road games. .

Score Prediction: Texans 24, Jets 21 .

New York hasn't scored 30 points in the team's last 21 games, while Philadelphia has done it twice in the last two weeks (and three of their last four outings)."?

They'll put up a fight against a similar-caliber team here.".

Score Prediction: Eagles 24, Giants 21

The Miami Dolphins are riding a three-game winning streak, while the Carolina Panthers are just 2-6 in their last eight games

But a slim majority of the panel is willing to lay two points with Carolina in Miami Sunday afternoon. 

"Is Carolina really a better team than Miami?" Gagnon asked

"I don't see it that way and recent trends don't indicate that either, so why would I lay points with them on the road?"

Score Prediction: Panthers 24, Dolphins 20

In this case, the Pats were once favored by only a point or two, but recent results for both sides and public betting in favor of New England have worked to push the line close to a touchdown. 

Kenyon on Tennessee: "The Titans were one of the NFL's hottest teams before losing a home game to the Texans

The Patriots will still likely win this game, but it should be close and there's good backdoor cover potential with this line

All signs point to the Titans covering, if not winning this game outright against a Patriots team that hasn't lost in over a month. But there's something about this home side that has me believing, and needing just a potential late touchdown to cover in Foxborough, I'm willing to roll the dice."

Score Prediction: Patriots 23, Titans 17

But the Bengals have become unpredictable of late, and most of the gang is uncool with laying four points with Cincy for the rematch between AFC North foes Sunday in Ohio. 

I think the Steelers win a close one outright here, so getting over a field goal on top of that is just too good to pass up."

The Bengals haven't swept a season series against Pittsburgh since 2009, and even if that happens here, there's a good chance it comes via a margin of three points or fewer. 

Score Prediction: Steelers 24, Bengals 21

But we're only talking about a single point here for a well-rested team in Jacksonville, where the Jaguars have lost 11 of their last 12 games

The Jags have shown some life of late, but this remains a team that has lost 23 of its last 25 games overall and was crushed at home by a flawed San Francisco 49ers squad in Week 11

Score Prediction: Falcons 26, Jaguars 23

Denver did beat the Chargers in Colorado last November, and both 2020 matchups between the two NFC West foes were close

Plus, all five Denver wins this season have come by seven or more points

Score Prediction: Chargers 30, Broncos 17

Sure, they're a league-best 9-2 against the spread, but they've lost two of their last three games, they'd been held to 27 or fewer points in seven consecutive outings before scoring 31 but surrendering 34 in a Week 11 loss to the Minnesota Vikings and they rank 13th in the NFL in DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) at Football Outsiders

And yet, they're favored this week to beat a Los Angeles Rams team that is superior on paper, healthier off paper and coming off a bye

having lost back-to-back games before said bye, nearly the entire crew is taking a point with Matthew Stafford and Co. 

"With that being said, the Packers have played in a ton of close games this year and have key injuries across their offense

Score Prediction: Rams 26, Packers 24

The final hung jury of the week comes with the San Francisco 49ers laying a typical field goal at home in a matchup with a Minnesota Vikings squad that has similar talent and possesses the same 5-5 record

This is Vegas shouting it doesn't know which team is better, and neither do we

A trip to San Fran, a team also finding its stride as players get healthy, will show the real Vikings, and I'm not willing to bet on them."

This should be another close game with the surging 49ers but give me the points for Minnesota."

Everybody's expecting a close game, and the public is about split as well

Score Prediction: Vikings 26, 49ers 23

And that's created enough uncertainty for all of our pickers to lay four points with Baltimore at home

This team is a mess, and it showed with back-to-back poor performances against New England and Detroit

Score Prediction: Ravens 27, Browns 17

We close with a near-pick'em between 2020 NFC divisional champions who have struggled in 2021

But the Seattle Seahawks have been flailing a lot more than the Washington Football Team, and there's evidence the two teams are headed in opposite directions of late. 

With that in mind, nearly the entire panel is laying a single point with Washington at home in prime time

"This is a difficult call between a pair of teams that haven't come close to meeting expectations in 2021," Davenport said

"If Russell Wilson was close to 100 percent, he'd have his way with Washington's secondary

He can't imagine Wilson laying another egg, even if it just means redemption for his ego

It's possible a veteran Seattle team will dig deep, but the vast majority of the crew isn't counting on that. 

Score Prediction: Washington 27, Seahawks 20

Summarized by 365NEWSX ROBOTS

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