Democratic pollsters acknowledge 'major errors' in 2020 surveys | TheHill - The Hill

The Democratic Party’s top pollsters acknowledged on Tuesday that they “failed to live up to” their own expectations in their polling of the 2020 elections, saying that “major errors” led them to believe that Democrats would have a better Election Day than what eventually materialized.

But ultimately, the pollsters said, the analysis of 2020 failed to yield any clear answers.

“There were several factors that may have contributed to polling error in 2020, and there is not a single, definitive answer — which makes solving the problem especially frustrating,” the polling firms wrote in the memo. .

Data collected in the weeks and months before Election Day showed President BidenJoe BidenTrump: McConnell 'helpless' to stop Biden from packing court Biden, first lady send 'warmest greetings' to Muslims for Ramadan The business case for child care reform MORE well ahead of former President TrumpDonald TrumpTrump: McConnell 'helpless' to stop Biden from packing court Romney on NRSC awarding Trump: Not 'my preference' McConnell sidesteps Trump calling him 'dumb son of a b----' MORE, while House Democrats appeared to be on the precipice of expanding their majority5

That’s largely because many Trump voters simply did not participate in polling, the memo says.

But they also cautioned against the impulse to “overcorrect” in the wake of 2020, noting that polling error has been far more significant in presidential races — especially when Trump has been on the ballot.