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New Data-Mapping Tool Estimates Chances Of Encountering a COVID-Positive Person in Any Group - SFist

New Data-Mapping Tool Estimates Chances Of Encountering a COVID-Positive Person in Any Group - SFist

New Data-Mapping Tool Estimates Chances Of Encountering a COVID-Positive Person in Any Group - SFist
Aug 05, 2020 31 secs

If you're heading out to meet a group of ten people in someone's backyard in San Francisco tonight, the chances that one of those people will be currently infected with the coronavirus is 15 percent.

The tool shows just how dangerous a group of 50 or more people is for disease transmission in the Bay Area, at present.

In Los Angeles County, in groups of 50 people, you'd have an 87-percent chance of finding an infected person right now.

In New York City, where case counts have slowed considerably since the spring, you're looking at a 25-percent chance in groups of 50, and in Chicago it's currently a 50-percent chance.

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