The first international game is always so jarring -- it's like when there's a random 11 a.m.
Props, Best Bets: Saints +2.5.
It's probably square but the over feels like a lock here. .
The Pick: Ravens 35, Bills 31.This will be an interesting test game against a 2-1 Browns team lingering quite large with Deshaun Watson coming back?
The Browns are second in rush DVOA on offense and the Falcons are a bottom five team in rush defense by DVOA (worth noting: usually it's best to wait four weeks for adjusted stats on that based on Football Outsiders reevaluating preconceived biases).
Cleveland's defense has been lacking and it's hard to imagine Myles Garrett is playing this Sunday; it's great news he's doing well as he is.
The Pick: Falcons 24, Browns 21.I've heard multiple people suggest (shoutout my new buddies from RGA) Daniel Jones played his best game as a pro against the Cowboys on Monday night.
The Pick: Bears 17, Giants 14.Two of my three favorite teams from 2022 squaring off in a difficult game to pick.The Jaguars are the only team in the entire NFL with a top-five offense and defense by DVOA.
The Eagles are simply just very good, and their defense can lock people down late when it's clicking.
The Pick: Eagles 27, Jaguars 17.The Lions are a fun team, but there are a lot of injuries on offense -- D'Andre Swift and Amon Ra St.The Pick: Lions 27, Seahawks 24.The Pick: Texans 27, Chargers 24.The Steelers are not good on offense, but the Jets are really bad on offenseThe Pick: Steelers 20, Jets 15The Pick: Colts 20, Titans 17The Eagles might simply be the best team in football
The Cowboys defense could be a big problem pressure-wise here, but I think Washington can keep it close enough with Carson Wentz throwing the ball downfield in the second half
The Pick: WFT 21, Cowboys 17Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense is operating in an unsustainable fashion and against a Panthers defense with enough speed to contain and chase down Kyler Murray, this is a spot for Matt Rhule to flip some of the FCF (first coach fired) pressure onto Kliff Kingsbury, whose offseason contract extension looms awkwardly at the moment
The Pick: Panthers 20, Cardinals 17The Raiders are an incredibly desperate team -- the only 0-3 team in the NFL -- getting ready to host the ..For that reason give me the Raiders to find a way to win this game, even though it's difficult to be confident in their defense
The Pick: Raiders 31, Broncos 24Bets: Raiders -3
Aaron Rodgers on a bigger stage (key CBS game on Sunday afternoon) against Belichick with the Packers offense starting to get rolling and the defense playing outstanding football
The Pick: Packers 24, Patriots 7The Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Revenge GameThe Pick: Buccaneers 28, Chiefs 27The Pick: Rams 24, 49ers 21