A tropical or subtropical depression is expected to form in the western Gulf of Mexico, and no matter how well organized this system becomes, it poses a threat of flooding rain along a part of the northern U.S.
Tropical storm conditions are likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast this weekend and tropical storm warnings have been issued from Intercoastal City, Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says there is a high chance of a tropical or subtropical depression forming in the western Gulf of Mexico tonight or early Friday.
Computer forecast models have been consistently suggesting over the past several days that low pressure may become better defined as it gets drawn northward through the western Gulf of Mexico later today into Friday.
The majority of computer model guidance suggests the center of this system will move inland on the northern or northwestern Gulf Coast early this weekend.
Impacts like rainfall, higher than normal tides and rip currents could arrive on the northern Gulf Coast by Friday.
Regardless of the exact track or strength of this system, we expect heavy rain along the northern Gulf Coast beginning as soon as Friday spreading into parts of the Deep South this weekend.
Gusty winds will accompany this system Friday into the weekend on the northern Gulf Coast and possibly into parts of the Deep South.
This may also lead to some scattered power outages near the northern Gulf Coast and into the Deep South.
June storms in the Gulf of Mexico are fairly typical.
Since 2000, there have 16 named storms in the Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical Storm Cristobal formed from the remnant of eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, then made landfall in southeast Louisiana.
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