‘Impending doom’? Oregon likely to see spike in COVID deaths - KOIN.com

As we’ve seen with every rise in cases in the state, deaths follow a similar pattern two weeks afterwards.

Cases have been steadily on the rise since the week of March 14th when we hit 2,031 cases.

The next two weeks saw more cases (2,450 & 2,822) and we are currently on pace for this week to be even higher (current pace is 3,297.0).

That three week surge now puts us in the two-weeks later window of rising deaths.

And with cases still going up, we have no end in sight yet for the surge of the rising deaths window to finally start to ebb.

That averages out to 55.02 new cases per death from either side of the window.

This shows how strong the case level rise correlates with the death level rise two weeks later.

That averages to 43.53 cases per death on either side of the window.

On the week of March 14th we had 2,031 cases and the week of March 28th we recorded 16 deaths.

On the week of March 21st we had 2,450 cases, and this week (two weeks later) we’re on track for a seven day total of 67.2 deaths.