Researchers at Imperial College London created a model that incorporates cellphone data showing that people sharply reduced their movements after stay-at-home orders were broadly imposed in March.

The model, which has not been peer reviewed, shows that in the majority of states, a second wave looms if people abandon efforts to mitigate the viral spread.

is not under control, as an entire country,” said Samir Bhatt, a senior lecturer in geostatistics at Imperial College.

The Imperial College researchers estimated the virus’s reproduction number, known as R0, or R naught.

The researchers found the reproduction number has dropped below 1 in the District and 26 states.

In 24 states, however, the model shows a reproduction number over 1.

Tim Walz (D) this week said he would allow only alfresco dining when restaurants and bars resume in-person service June 1.

That led to an outcry from owners who said they had been preparing for weeks to seat people inside, setting up plexiglass partitions and purchasing special filters to arrest tiny particles.

In Mississippi, where the Imperial College model predicts infections are on the rise, Gov.

Tate Reeves (R) said he was ready to reopen the last few businesses that remain closed in the state — including racetracks and water parks.

“We will be out of the business of closing down anybody, I hope,” Reeves said.

The Tennessee Emergency Management Agency said the state is preparing for a potential surge by increasing testing and constructing a 401-bed covid-19 care site in Memphis that was finished this week.

The county has a daily “covid-19 risk level” that is currently red, for “stay home, stay safe.” Officials are working on seals that businesses can display to indicate they are meeting local public health guidelines, not just state mandates?

The Imperial College estimates for Texas are in line with internal modeling conducted by university experts advising state leaders.

Rebecca Fischer, an epidemiologist at Texas A&M University and part of a team partnering with the governor’s office, said the daily caseload was fluctuating, but “it looks like we’re not cresting a peak and coming down the other side.”.

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